Us Recession 2024 Probability Of Rain. The us now has an 85% chance of recession in 2024, the highest probability since the great financial crisis, economist david rosenberg says. Graph and download economic data for nber based recession indicators for the united states from the period following the peak through the trough (usrec) from.

Questions about potential recession risks and the inflation outlook will likely persist. Another 21 percent expect the downturn to happen in 2024, while 15 percent of the 525 respondents expect the recession to come as early as this year.